Thursday, November 6, 2014

MCB bank KSE Stock/Financial Analysis Nov 2014



Introduction:

MCB Bank Limited (the ‘Bank’) is a banking company incorporated in Pakistan and is engaged in commercial banking and related services. The Bank’s ordinary shares are listed on all the stock exchanges in Pakistan whereas it’s Global Depository Receipts (GDRs) representing two ordinary shares are traded on the International Order Book (IOB) system of the London Stock Exchange. The Bank operates 1,208 branches including 27 Islamic banking branches within Pakistan and 9 branches outside the country. Maybank International is a major shareholder of this bank.


Key data

The bank has extensive branch network in Pakistan making it one of the best bank in banking activities. The bank has strong capital base as well as human capital. It has a deposit base of 666 billion rupees as of September 2014.

Key economic data MCB Bank

2011
2012
2013
Mar-14
Jun-14
Sep-14
Capital (Bn Rs)
88,802,482
101,750,806
110,230,981
113,550,299
114,486,274
116,421,700
Branches (No.)
1,173
1,188
1,217
1217
1218
1222
Employees (No.)
13,380
13,046
12,611



Deposits (Bn Rs)
491,188,710
545,060,728
632,330,286
627,143,643
685,765,679
666,344,116
Deposit growth%
13.87
10.97
16.01





Income profile:

The banks net spread income as %age of Deposits declined from 10.32 to almost 7 during 2011-13.  Despite the fall it is well above industry average. The bank has strong income profile. The bank’s core income adequately covers regular admin expenses.
Income Profile and sustainability


2011
2012
2013
Mar-14
Jun-14
Sep-14
Net Spread Income NSI
44,526,314
40,856,172
37,868,229
10,013,882
11,422,972
10,577,276
NSI as % of Deposits T-1
10.32
8.32
6.95
1.58
1.82
1.54
NSI /Admin expenses
2.86
2.39
2.02
2.08
2.40
2.04
EPS /LPS
17.45
18.81
19.31
4.95
5.58
5.75

Leverage:

The bank’s balance sheet is quite stable and it has significant room for taking more risk. The leverage is stable over the period 2011-14.the bank should take risk and expand its loan portfolio and stop feeding on government rent. The %age of non-performing loans has decreased from around 10.5% of loans in 2011 to 7.7% in Sep 2014.

Leverage and Loan Portfolio Infection


2011
2012
2013
Mar-14
Jun-14
Sep-14
Total Assets/equity
8.28
8.69
8.38
8.34
8.51
8.30
advances/equity
2.86
2.72
2.55
2.55
2.78
2.77
NPL/Advances T-1
10.48
11.32
9.71
9.07
8.73
7.72

Dividend Distrbution:

The bank issued/distributed 10% bonus shares in the year 2012 and 2013 as well as Rs. 13 and Rs. 14 per share as dividend respectively.

Stock Valuation:


Stock Market Price Faysal Bank (Jan 2013-Oct 2014)


2011
2012
2013
Mar-14
Jun-14
Sep-14
Book Value
79.78
91.42
99.04
102.02
102.86
104.60
book value *
70.90
79.20
87.39
89.15
91.68
94.09
book value **
66.59
76.35
83.96
85.81
88.35
90.58
* without accounting for revaluation reserve
** without accounting for revaluation reserve and adjusted for Non Performing Loans

Oct 2013 – 2014 (unadjusted)
Book Value
Max
Min
Range
Average

Stock Price

311
234
77
285



Conclusion:

The bank’s balance sheet is less leveraged and therefore the bank needs to raise its loan portfolio.

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